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Scenarios That Could Define 2035

This scenario series from the CSIS Brzezinski Chair explores possible futures for 2035—not to predict outcomes, but to prepare for them. With expert comments, the scenarios examine key drivers, second-order effects, and warning signs to inform strategic foresight.

Digital Report by Jon B. Alterman — May 14, 2025

China Stalls

A new scenario by Jon B. Alterman, with comments from leading experts, explores the challenges facing China’s economy and considers how a sustained slowdown could sap Beijing’s global influence and reshape the international order.

Digital Report by Jon B. Alterman — May 14, 2025

Trust Fails

A new scenario by Jon B. Alterman, with comments from leading experts, explores how technology has both built and broken trust—examining how disinformation, cyber threats, and digital decay could fracture societies, disrupt trade, and weaken global cooperation.

Digital Report by Jon B. Alterman — May 14, 2025

U.S. Global Leadership Falters

A new scenario by Jon B. Alterman, with comments from leading experts, explores what a U.S. retreat from global leadership could look like—examining the political, economic, and strategic fallout of a diminished role and how it might reshape global power dynamics.

Digital Report by Jon B. Alterman — May 14, 2025

Pursuing Global Order in the Twenty-First Century

Amid rising great power competition, the United States needs to rethink its engagement with the Global South—a diverse but increasingly populous and wealthy group of states that will be vital to addressing the world's problems.

Digital Report by Jon B. Alterman and Lily McElwee — April 22, 2024

2024 Global Forecast: Conflict Zones

In the third installment of the 2024 Global Forecast—A World Dividing—CSIS experts offer their views on what to expect on the battlefield in 2024, from the outlook for Ukraine to critical questions about the long-term consequences of the Israel-Hamas conflict.

Digital Report by Mark F. Cancian, Max Bergmann, Maria Snegovaya, Romina Bandura, Kathleen McInnis, Elizabeth Hoffman, Eliot A. Cohen, Daniel Byman, Jon B. Alterman, Natasha Hall, Emily Harding, Craig Cohen, and Alex Kisling — February 2, 2024