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Does Ukraine Need a New Black Sea Grain Initiative?

Nascent agreements over safety of navigation on the Black Sea indicate Russia’s desire to restart the Black Sea Grain Initiative, but Ukraine has already secured—and increased—its agricultural exports without Russia’s cooperation. 

Analysis by Emma Dodd, Joseph Glauber, and Caitlin Welsh — March 28, 2025

Russia’s Renewed Attacks on Ukraine’s Grain Infrastructure: Why Now? What Next?

Russia’s latest attacks on Ukraine’s grain infrastructure and foreign cargo vessels are the most severe since 2023. CSIS experts analyze the timing, predict future incidents, and emphasize the urgent need for stronger maritime defense to safeguard Ukraine’s grain exports.

Critical Questions by Caitlin Welsh, Joseph Glauber, and Emma Dodd — November 25, 2024

Setting the Record Straight on Ukraine’s Grain Exports

Ukraine’s food exports are reaching wartime record levels due in part to the success of the Ukrainian corridor—but whether this meets “pre-war levels,” as many claim, and whether levels can be sustained, are unpacked by CSIS experts in this brief Critical Questions.

Critical Questions by Emma Dodd, Caitlin Welsh, and Joseph Glauber — May 2, 2024

Why Is Russia Blocking Ukraine's Food Exports?

Continuing to block Ukraine’s agricultural exports is in Russia’s economic and political interest, as it manipulates its own food exports to appease food-importing countries. And its exit from the deal has not contributed to a global food price shock—for now.

Critical Questions by Caitlin Welsh, Joseph Glauber, and Emma Dodd — September 15, 2023

Russia’s UN Grain Deal Boomerang: Implications for the Deal and Global Food Prices

Russia has rejoined the Black Sea Grain Initiative days after announcing its suspension. With the agreement set to expire on November 19, what is the likelihood of Russia agreeing to its renewal? What is the long-term outlook for Ukraine assuming the agreement is extended?

Critical Questions by Joseph Glauber, Caitlin Welsh, and David Laborde — November 4, 2022