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Is NATO Ready for War?

Allied leaders will soon gather in Washington for NATO’s 75th anniversary summit. Ahead of that historic meeting, this paper takes stock of the progress allies have made to strengthen their deterrence and defense since Russia’s full-scale invasion of Ukraine.

Report by Sean Monaghan, Eskil Jakobsen, Sissy Martinez, Mathieu Droin, Gregory Sanders, Nicholas Velazquez, Cynthia R. Cook, Anna Dowd, and Maeve Sockwell — June 11, 2024

What’s at Stake with the 2024 European Parliament Elections

Europeans will soon head to the polls to cast a vote for their representatives in the European Parliament. The makeup of the body will determine the direction of several key areas of EU policy: security and defense, rule of law, economic security, and foreign policy.

Commentary by Donatienne Ruy, Sissy Martinez, Federico Steinberg, R. Daniel Kelemen, Ilke Toygür, and Mathieu Droin — June 4, 2024

NATO and Its South: Redefining the Terms

NATO has a rocky history in its engagement with its southern neighborhoods. A new report by experts explores how to chart a new course ahead of the Washington summit in July. We unpack its findings and assess the relevance of its recommendations.

Critical Questions by Mathieu Droin, Carlota G. Encina, Cameron Hudson, and Selin Uysal — May 17, 2024

The European Union Charts Its Own Path for European Rearmament

The European Union has rolled out its first-ever defense industrial strategy, signaling a leap forward in the bloc's ambition to become a more credible security and defense player. However, doubts remain that the strategy is another false dawn with little funding attached.

Critical Questions by Max Bergmann, Mathieu Droin, Sissy Martinez, and Otto Svendsen — March 8, 2024

Why the Washington Summit Should Focus on Europe

Europe cannot defend itself without the United States. But next year’s 75th anniversary NATO summit in Washington provides an opportunity to put Europe on a new course, demonstrate U.S. leadership, and address burden-sharing concerns.

Report by Max Bergmann, Sean Monaghan, and Mathieu Droin — December 20, 2023

The Granada Summit of the European Political Community: Ambition or Oblivion?

The third summit of the European Political Community in Granada might not deliver spectacular outcomes and is held amid a very tense context in the wider Europe, but this informal platform for leaders remains relevant to build strategic convergence on shared challenges.

Commentary by Mathieu Droin and Ilke Toygür — October 4, 2023

A Renewed Nagorno-Karabakh Conflict: Reading Between the Front Lines

While Azerbaijan and Karabakh Armenians agreed to a Russia-brokered ceasefire this Wednesday, if the three-decades-long conflict has taught anything to its observers it is that Moscow-negotiated peace in Nagorno-Karabakh usually tends to be fragile and fleeting.

Critical Questions by Mathieu Droin, Tina Dolbaia, and Abigail Edwards — September 22, 2023

Post-Prigozhin Russia in Africa: Regaining or Losing Control?

Any changes in Wagner’s command and control following Prigozhin’s presumed death do not necessarily mean that Russia is abandoning the Wagner model altogether, given the significant geopolitical and economic benefits that it provides for the Kremlin in Africa.  

Report by Mathieu Droin and Tina Dolbaia — September 20, 2023

Russia Is Still Progressing in Africa. What's the Limit?

This paper examines Russia’s creeping influence over Africa, assessing Moscow’s historic legacy as well as the current diplomatic, economic, and military-security links that contribute to the region’s continued willingness to engage with Russia. 

Report by Mathieu Droin and Tina Dolbaia — August 15, 2023