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Strategic Ambiguity: Erdoğan’s Turkey in a Multipolar World

Turkey’s push for strategic autonomy sees it balancing NATO ties, courting Russia and China, and asserting regional influence, showing how Erdoğan’s Turkey both shapes and is shaped by a rising multipolar world.

Brief by Jeffrey Mankoff and Max Bergmann — December 2, 2025

A Long-Term Russia Strategy for Europe

No matter the outcome in Ukraine, Russia will remain a strategic threat to Europe and European interests. A European containment strategy reworked for the particularities of the present can help Europe unify around a common approach to Russia.

Report by Max Bergmann, Maria Snegovaya, Michael Kimmage, Hanna Notte, and Jeffrey Mankoff — July 24, 2025

Prisoner of the Caucasus?

It is time for Washington, in tandem with its allies, to develop a more realistic, forward-looking approach to the South Caucasus, a region that now faces internal upheaval and its neighbors' mounting ambitions.

Report by Jeffrey Mankoff — December 17, 2024

The Inhospitable Sea: Toward a New U.S. Strategy for the Black Sea Region

Russia’s war in Ukraine has upended security and stability across the wider Black Sea region. A new U.S. Black Sea strategy should focus on restoring the balance of power, catalyzing regional cooperation, and fostering connectivity among NATO allies and partners.

Report by Lisa Aronsson and Jeffrey Mankoff — February 2, 2023

As Russia Reels, Eurasia Roils

Even as the United States and its allies focus on helping Ukraine defeat the Russian invasion, they should also be thinking about how to further encourage the smaller Eurasian states’ no-longer-gradual escape from Russia’s shadow.

Commentary by Jeffrey Mankoff — October 12, 2022

Countering Russian & Chinese Influence Activities

Moscow and Beijing’s toolkit for influencing democratic societies has evolved. Using Germany, the UK, Japan, and Australia as case studies, CSIS explores what traits made these democracies vulnerable to foreign influence as well as the sources of their resiliency.

Report by Heather A. Conley, Rachel Ellehuus, Timothy Kostelancik, Jeffrey Mankoff, Cyrus Newlin, Amy Searight, and Devin Stewart — July 1, 2020

Improvisation and Adaptability in the Russian Military

What are some of the most important recent developments in the Russian Armed Forces? The CSIS Russia and Eurasia Program's Russia Military Capabilities Working Group explores this in a new series.

Report by Jeffrey Mankoff — April 30, 2020