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USS Ford arrives in the Caribbean: Will It Strike or Stand Down?

With the redeployment of the USS Gerald R. Ford, the U.S. naval presence in the Caribbean reaches a level unseen since the Cold War. The aircraft carrier’s arrival suggests a shift from a campaign against drug smugglers to one that includes undermining the Maduro regime. 

Analysis by Mark F. Cancian and Chris H. Park — November 13, 2025

Trump’s War on Drug Cartels: Interdiction in the Caribbean or Invasion of Venezuela?

Trump’s notification to Congress determining an “armed conflict” with drug cartels marks the latest escalation in ongoing U.S. operations in the Caribbean against Venezuelan drug boats. While raising concerns of potential military intervention in Venezuela, assets currently deployed fall short of what an invasion or raid would require. 

Analysis by Mark F. Cancian and Chris H. Park — October 3, 2025

Ideological Trends in U.S. Terrorism

The Warfare, Irregular Threats, and Terrorism Program examines the state of terrorism in the U.S., finding left-wing violence has risen in the last decade but from very low levels and still well below historic levels of violence by right-wing and jihadist actors.

Analysis by Daniel Byman and Riley McCabe — September 26, 2025

Asking AI How to Respond to a Foreign Policy Decision

AI models have built-in biases that factor into their decisionmaking. These biases should be mitigated before integrating them into foreign policy processes.

Analysis by Yasir Atalan, Benjamin Jensen, and Ian Reynolds — April 17, 2025

Dept. of Defense Faces Shutdown Amid Continuing Resolution Uncertainty

On March 14, the current continuing resolution (CR) funding the Department of Defense (DOD) and the rest of the federal government for FY 2025 will expire, and a government shutdown will take effect on March 15 at midnight if Congress does not act. On Tuesday, March 11, the House of Representatives passed H.R. 1968 to extend the CR through the end of FY 2025 on September 30, but Senate Democrats oppose the measure in favor of a short-term CR. 

Analysis by Seamus P. Daniels — March 13, 2025