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Crossroads of Commerce: How the Taiwan Strait Propels the Global Economy

This report provides an unprecedented look at the Taiwan Strait’s role in global trade, revealing that over one-fifth of all maritime commerce passes through this vital waterway. China possesses a range of non-kinetic options it may employ to coerce Taiwan, which could significantly disrupt this trade.
 

Digital Report by Matthew P. Funaiole, Brian Hart, David Peng, Bonny Lin, and Jasper Verschuur — October 10, 2024

How China Could Blockade Taiwan

China has options other than invasion to try to force Taiwan’s unification, one of which is a blockade. This report explores the potential motivations and strategic calculus for a blockade and maps out possible scenarios of how China could approach blockade operations.

Digital Report by Bonny Lin, Brian Hart, Matthew P. Funaiole, Truly Tinsley, and Samantha Lu — August 22, 2024

How China Could Quarantine Taiwan

As China ramps up pressure on Taiwan, one major step it could take is a law enforcement-led quarantine of the island. This report lays out China’s potential motivations for a quarantine and maps out two plausible scenarios of how it could conduct quarantine operations.

Digital Report by Bonny Lin, Brian Hart, Matthew P. Funaiole, Samantha Lu, and Truly Tinsley — June 4, 2024

2024 Global Forecast: The China Challenge

In the first installment of the 2024 Global Forecast—A World Dividing—experts examine the myriad challenges facing U.S.-China relations in 2024, from Chinese military activity and economic coercion to competition for tech dominance and geopolitical standing.

Digital Report by Victor Cha, Gregory C. Allen, Scott Kennedy, Seth G. Jones, Kari A. Bingen, Heather Williams, Tom Karako, Bonny Lin, Jude Blanchette, Charles Edel, Christopher B. Johnstone, Nicholas Szechenyi, Lily McElwee, Daniel F. Runde, Craig Cohen, and Alex Kisling — January 25, 2024