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New Ethane Export Controls Will Harm U.S. Producers

Recent ethane export controls hurt U.S. producers, fail to pressure China, and send damaging signals about U.S. reliability as a trade partner.

Analysis by Philip Luck — June 24, 2025

Disruptions to Trade in the Taiwan Strait Would Severely Impact China's Economy

A major Taiwan contingency, such as a quarantine, blockade, or invasion, could significantly disrupt the flow of trade through the Taiwan Strait—one of the world’s busiest waterways.

Analysis by Matthew P. Funaiole, Brian Hart, David Peng, Bonny Lin, and Jasper Verschuur — June 17, 2025

Ukrainian Agriculture at Risk as the European Union's Liberalized Trade Measures Expire

The expiration of wartime trade exemptions by the European Commission on Ukrainian food imports could compound challenges for Ukrainian producers, who are now facing their fourth-straight growing season in wartime conditions.

Analysis by Joseph Glauber, Caitlin Welsh, and Emma Dodd — June 10, 2025

Trump’s Second Term Starts with Inaction over North Korea’s Missile Provocations

Despite Trump’s “great relationship” with the North Korean leader Kim Jong-un built during their summit meetings during his first term, there has been no substantive engagement since, leaving Pyongyang free to operate to the detriment of U.S. and allied security interests.

Analysis by Victor Cha and Andy Lim — May 28, 2025

Vaccine Exemptions for Kids Are on the Rise

The ongoing measles outbreak—the largest since 2019—threatens unvaccinated children across the United States, where the rise of nonmedical vaccine exemptions in kindergarteners has widened gaps in immunity to the disease.

Analysis by Priya Chainani and Katherine E. Bliss — May 20, 2025

Three U.S. Government Lists: Which Minerals Are the Most Critical?

The existence of multiple lists creates complexity and uncertainty, undermining efforts to encourage private investment across critical mineral supply chains, both domestically and internationally.

Analysis by Gracelin Baskaran and Meredith Schwartz — May 15, 2025

The Current Bird Flu Outbreak Is the Deadliest, Most Persistent in U.S. History

The current bird flu outbreak has become the longest and deadliest animal disease emergency in U.S. history, with devastating losses to poultry flocks nationwide and major implications for U.S. agriculture and food security.

Analysis by Caitlin Welsh, Zane Swanson, and Joely Virzi — April 30, 2025

Long Wait for FY 2026 Budget Could Hinder Congressional Consideration

The Trump administration has yet to submit its FY 2026 budget request to Congress that will detail its spending plans for the forthcoming fiscal year.

Analysis by Seamus P. Daniels — April 23, 2025

Asking AI How to Respond to a Foreign Policy Decision

AI models have built-in biases that factor into their decisionmaking. These biases should be mitigated before integrating them into foreign policy processes.

Analysis by Yasir Atalan, Benjamin Jensen, and Ian Reynolds — April 17, 2025

Can Tariffs Revive U.S. Manufacturing Jobs?

The Trump administration’s 90-day pause on “Liberation Day” reciprocal tariffs – meant to revive declining U.S. manufacturing jobs - offers a window of opportunity for U.S. policymakers to focus on the enduring source of U.S. economic advantage: technology innovation.

Analysis by Navin Girishankar, Andrea Leonard Palazzi, Ahmed Shareef, and Ameya Khanapurkar — April 11, 2025

It's More than Just Drones: Industrial Base Lessons from the Conflict in Ukraine | All About the Base

Global Oil Markets Outlook: Key Takeaways from EIA’s January 2026 STEO

Examining Major Elements Driving Investment Uncertainty in the 2026 USMCA Review

Book Launch | China's Weaponization of Trade: Resistance Through Collective Resilience

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