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Kim Jong-un’s Flurry of Diplomacy

In early September, Kim Jong-un took the rare but not entirely surprising step of traveling to Beijing to participate in the September celebration of the “80th anniversary of the victory of the Chinese People's War of Resistance against Japanese Aggression and the World Anti-Fascist War,” as China calls it.

Newsletter by Sydney Seiler — October 2, 2025

DPRK Aggression: Near-Term Concerns, Longer-Term Challenges

October is here, the U.S. presidential election is just around the corner, and tensions on the Korean Peninsula appear moving in the direction of the “October surprise.” What are some near-term concerns and longer-term challenges with North Korean aggression?

Commentary by Sydney Seiler — October 21, 2024

The 2024 IC Annual Threat Assessment: Analytic Authority and Policy Relevance

This past week leaders of the U.S. intelligence community presented their annual threat assessment, which provides excellent baselines for North Korea watchers to contextualize North Korea’s near-term coercive behavior while forecasting dangerous futures to plan for.

Commentary by Sydney Seiler — March 18, 2024