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Mexico Is Now the Top Importer of U.S. Goods

In August 2025, Mexico overtook Canada as the United States’ largest export market, underscoring how deeply the U.S. manufacturing sector and related jobs are tied to North American demand.

Analysis by Ryan C. Berg and Diego Marroquín Bitar — November 25, 2025

USS Ford arrives in the Caribbean: Will It Strike or Stand Down?

With the redeployment of the USS Gerald R. Ford, the U.S. naval presence in the Caribbean reaches a level unseen since the Cold War. The aircraft carrier’s arrival suggests a shift from a campaign against drug smugglers to one that includes undermining the Maduro regime. 

Analysis by Mark F. Cancian and Chris H. Park — November 13, 2025

Is the Global South More Optimistic Than Prepared for AI?

Emerging and developing economies are more optimistic than advanced ones about artificial intelligence (AI), but less prepared to adopt it. This gap could offer a “golden opportunity” for partnerships with the United States around AI standards, skills, and exports.

Analysis by Navin Girishankar and Andrea Leonard Palazzi — October 23, 2025

U.S. Policies Only Temporarily Shake China's Shipbuilding Dominance

New U.S. policies aimed at curtailing China’s growing dominance over global shipbuilding went into effect on October 14. The rollout of these measures over the past year triggered temporary volatility in international ship ordering behavior but has not yet produced lasting change in China’s market position.

Analysis by Matthew P. Funaiole, Brian Hart, and Aidan Powers-Riggs — October 16, 2025

Trump’s War on Drug Cartels: Interdiction in the Caribbean or Invasion of Venezuela?

Trump’s notification to Congress determining an “armed conflict” with drug cartels marks the latest escalation in ongoing U.S. operations in the Caribbean against Venezuelan drug boats. While raising concerns of potential military intervention in Venezuela, assets currently deployed fall short of what an invasion or raid would require. 

Analysis by Mark F. Cancian and Chris H. Park — October 3, 2025

Can the United States Meet Skilled Trade Labor Demand Through 2030?

The GenAI infrastructure build-out presents a unique opportunity to create new pathways to durable middle-class jobs, but AI data centers will not be wired, commissioned, or inspected without skilled trades workers.

Analysis by Navin Girishankar and Karl Smith — October 2, 2025

Ideological Trends in U.S. Terrorism

The Warfare, Irregular Threats, and Terrorism Program examines the state of terrorism in the U.S., finding left-wing violence has risen in the last decade but from very low levels and still well below historic levels of violence by right-wing and jihadist actors.

Analysis by Daniel Byman and Riley McCabe — September 26, 2025