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Southeast Asia Navigates Trump’s Return: Quick Deals, Lasting Dread

Most Southeast Asian states are seeking to mitigate both the short- and long-term risks of partnering with the United States by seeking new partnerships to hedge against future U.S. economic pressure. The United States must make its policy more predictable.

Commentary by Gregory B. Poling — October 6, 2025

New Thai Prime Minister and the Fall of the Shinawatras

Thailand’s parliament on September 7 elected Anutin Charnvirakul, leader of the Bhumjaithai Party, as prime minister after months of political turmoil. Meanwhile, the future of Pheu Thai, which led the previous government, is unclear. What’s next for Thailand?

Critical Questions by Japhet Quitzon and Gregory B. Poling — September 15, 2025

The Dangerous Allure of Myanmar’s Rare Earths

Outreach to the Burmese junta on rare earth minerals would damage both long-term U.S. strategic interests and undermine eventual access to those rare earth deposits.

Commentary by Gregory B. Poling — August 1, 2025

Thailand Launches Airstrikes Amid Border Dispute with Cambodia

On July 24, 2025, Thailand and Cambodia entered open conflict over a long-term border dispute, exchanging gunfire and airstrikes in the deadliest clash between the two countries in over a decade.

Critical Questions by Andreyka Natalegawa and Gregory B. Poling — July 24, 2025

Gregory B. Poling: Finding Nemo’s Future: Conflicts over Ocean Resources

Illegal, unregulated, and unreported fishing is a nontraditional, but important national security consideration. The U.S. is equipped to take stronger action to limit IUU fishing and its consequences of abetting crime networks and violating international sovereignty.

Congressional Testimony by Gregory B. Poling — June 12, 2025

Australia Doubles Down on Southeast Asia

As global powers vie for influence in Southeast Asia, Australia is stepping up, but can it bridge the gap between ambition and reality in its engagement with the region?

Commentary by Kathryn Paik and Gregory B. Poling — June 9, 2025

Crossroads of Competition: China in Southeast Asia and the Pacific Islands

China’s grey zone coercion in the South China Sea has intensified under Xi Jinping, but Southeast Asian nations have grown more resilient. Despite aggressive Chinese maritime tactics, regional players resist. The U.S. must strengthen support for allies to deter China’s aggression.

Congressional Testimony by Gregory B. Poling — March 20, 2025