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Tracking Gaza’s Descent into Famine

On August 22, the Integrated Food Security Phase Classification (IPC) announced that famine is currently occurring in Gaza, marking the fifth such classification since the IPC was formed in 2004 and the first in the Middle East.

Analysis by Caitlin Welsh, Zane Swanson, and Joely Virzi — August 22, 2025

Vaccine Exemptions for Kids Are on the Rise

The ongoing measles outbreak—the largest since 2019—threatens unvaccinated children across the United States, where the rise of nonmedical vaccine exemptions in kindergarteners has widened gaps in immunity to the disease. 

Analysis by Priya Chainani and Katherine E. Bliss — May 20, 2025

Does Ukraine Need a New Black Sea Grain Initiative?

Nascent agreements over safety of navigation on the Black Sea indicate Russia’s desire to restart the Black Sea Grain Initiative, but Ukraine has already secured—and increased—its agricultural exports without Russia’s cooperation. 

Analysis by Emma Dodd, Joseph Glauber, and Caitlin Welsh — March 28, 2025

Bird Flu Spillover Increases the Risk of Dangerous Human Variants

Bird flu now infects over 40 different mammalian species increasing opportunities for the virus to mutate and become more transmissible or lethal in humans. As the virus becomes endemic in wild animal populations,a broader, long-term, multidimensional approach is required.

Analysis by Michaela Simoneau, Sophia Hirshfield, and Maclane Speer — March 25, 2025

Ukraine's Decreased Grain Production Creates Opportunities for Russia

Russia’s assault on Ukraine’s agriculture sector precipitated a substantial decrease in Ukraine’s harvested land area. While the sector is adapting, reduced farming and export capacity in Ukraine has realigned global agricultural trade in Russia’s favor.

Analysis by Caitlin Welsh and Emma Dodd — February 11, 2025