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A New Rift in the Gulf, and Only the Gulf Can Solve It

Saudi Arabia and the United Arab Emirates have a lot in common. Instead of fostering cooperation, it led to rivalry.

Commentary by Michael Ratney — January 16, 2026

Disaster Risk Financing in Fragile Contexts: Syria Case Study

Syria experienced a twice a century drought in the first few months of 2025, and it was through innovative disaster risk financing that WFP was able to raise the funds needed to respond.

Report by Noam Unger and Madeleine McLean — January 12, 2026

Profit from Preparation: Innovations and Opportunities in Disaster Risk Financing in Developing Countries

A combination of extreme weather impacts and cuts to aid budgets mean that the next few years will be ripe for the rapid development and further scaling up of anticipatory action measures and prearranged finance approaches to better manage mounting disaster risk.

Report by Noam Unger and Madeleine McLean — January 12, 2026

How Will the Trump Administration Respond to Violent Protests in Iran?

Protests are once again raging in Iran. Will the outcome be different?

Commentary by Vali Nasr — January 12, 2026

Saudi Arabia’s Mohammed bin Salman Got a Lot from Trump. What Did the United States Get?

Saudi Arabia seems to be the “net winner” after MBS’s recent trip to Washington, D.C.

Commentary by Michael Ratney — January 5, 2026

Understanding the Saudi Reaction to the Escalation in Yemen

The UAE-backed Southern Transitional Council’s capture of two southern Yemeni provinces, as well as Saudi forces’ recent strike on UAE-shipped weapons and vehicles in Al Mukalla, has led to unprecedented tensions between Saudi Arabia and the UAE.

Commentary by Michael Ratney — December 31, 2025

Syria’s Promise and Challenges One Year After Assad’s Fall

A year after Assad’s fall, the promise of a new Syria hinges on the transitional government’s ability to garner domestic and international support.

Brief by Mona Yacoubian and Will Todman — December 4, 2025

The United Arab Emirates: From Footnote to Sophisticated Global Partner

The UAE has evolved from a quiet Gulf country into a hyper-connected power, leveraging capital, and statecraft to hedge globally, disrupt regionally, and reshape ties with the United States, China, Russia, and the Middle East.

Brief by Jon B. Alterman — December 2, 2025

Strategic Ambiguity: Erdoğan’s Turkey in a Multipolar World

Turkey’s push for strategic autonomy sees it balancing NATO ties, courting Russia and China, and asserting regional influence, showing how Erdoğan’s Turkey both shapes and is shaped by a rising multipolar world.

Brief by Jeffrey Mankoff and Max Bergmann — December 2, 2025

Fulcrums of Order: Rising States and the Struggle for the Future

As global power diffuses and multilateralism fractures, a set of rising states increasingly claim the mantle of the “Global South,” reshaping institutions, challenging Western dominance, and forcing the United States to rethink how it engages a rapidly changing world.

Report by Jon B. Alterman and Lily McElwee — December 2, 2025

It's More than Just Drones: Industrial Base Lessons from the Conflict in Ukraine | All About the Base

Global Oil Markets Outlook: Key Takeaways from EIA’s January 2026 STEO

Examining Major Elements Driving Investment Uncertainty in the 2026 USMCA Review

Book Launch | China's Weaponization of Trade: Resistance Through Collective Resilience

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