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On the Horizon, Vol. 8

The 2025 PONI Nuclear Scholars explore the future of nuclear strategy, offering perspectives from emerging experts on disruptive technology, intensifying geopolitical rivalries, and strategic stability.

Report by Doreen Horschig — December 18, 2025

The United States Needs Its Marine Corps Now More Than Ever

Recent arguments for abolishing the Marine Corps on the grounds of redundancy and fiscal constraints overlook the service's unique role as a scalable, naval expeditionary force essential for power projection and sea control in the era of great power competition.

Commentary by Patrick Panjeti and David Batcheler — December 15, 2025

Navigating the Divide: Why the U.S. Navy Must Resume FONOPs in Indonesia

For nearly a decade, the U.S. has quietly acquiesced to Indonesia’s restrictive maritime claims to avoid diplomatic friction. This policy has failed. To prevent a catastrophic loss of access during a future crisis, the U.S. Navy must resume targeted Freedom of Navigation Operations.

Commentary by Patrick Panjeti — December 11, 2025

The Depleting Missile Defense Interceptor Inventory

The proliferation of missile threats has made air and missile defense interceptors the table stakes for entry into future conflicts, forcing the Department of Defense to either ante up and buy the necessary interceptors, or fold on its regional interests and bear the consequences.

Brief by Wes Rumbaugh — December 5, 2025

Should the United States Extend New START Limits?

CSIS’s Heather Williams, Tom Karako, and Kari Bingen discuss whether the Trump administration should accept Putin’s suggestion to informally extend the limits of the START treaty.

Transcript — October 10, 2025

MTCR Reform: What’s a Missile?

CSIS’s Heather Williams, Tom Karako, and Kari Bingen discuss the recently updated the U.S. interpretation of its obligations under the Missile Technology Control Regime (MTCR) to treat unmanned aerial systems similar to manned aircraft.

Transcript — September 24, 2025

Operational Art in the Age of Battle Networks

From Ukraine to the Middle East, a new age of warfare is dawning. Information-centric battle networks are rewriting the rules, prioritizing cognitive shock and decisionmaking speed over traditional military mass. How will modern militaries adapt and survive?

Commentary by Benjamin Jensen — September 16, 2025