Indo-Pacific Forecast 2026

January 14, 2026 • 8:45 am – 12:00 pm EST

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How will the U.S. alliance network in the Indo-Pacific evolve next year? To what extent will tariff policy and tech competition shape regional economic dynamics? Will the regional balance of power tilt in favor of authoritarian states? 

Join CSIS experts to explore these and other questions during the Geopolitics and Foreign Policy Department (GFP)'s annual preview of political, economic, and security developments across the region.

Audience members will be encouraged to participate in a live poll during the event. Please use the QR code below OR menti.com (code: 58178464) to participate via the Mentimeter platform.

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This event is made possible through general support to the Center for Strategic and International Studies.

Event Agenda


Welcoming Remarks

8:45 am

Victor Cha

President, Geopolitics and Foreign Policy Department and Korea Chair, CSIS

Allies and Partners: Building Resilience in an Era of Uncertainty

8:50 am

Victor Cha

President, Geopolitics and Foreign Policy Department and Korea Chair, CSIS

 

Charles Edel

Senior Adviser and Australia Chair, Geopolitics and Foreign Policy Department, CSIS (Virtual)

 

Kristi Govella

Senior Adviser and Japan Chair, Geopolitics and Foreign Policy Department, CSIS; Associate Professor, University of Oxford  

 

Richard Rossow

Senior Adviser and Chair on India and Asia Emerging Economics, Economic Security and Technology Department, CSIS         

 

Gregory B. Poling

Senior Fellow and Director, Southeast Asia Program and Asia Maritime Transparency Initiative, Geopolitics and Foreign Policy Department, CSIS

 

Moderated by:

Nicholas Szechenyi

Vice President, Geopolitics and Foreign Policy Department and Senior Fellow, Japan Chair, CSIS

Break

9:50 am

Economic Trend Lines: Tariffs, Tech, and Counter-Coercion

9:55 am

Navin Girishankar

President, Economic Security and Technology Department, CSIS

 

Philip Luck

Director, Economics Program and Scholl Chair in International Business, Economic Security and Technology Department, CSIS 

 

Adam Farrar

Senior Associate (Non-Resident), Korea Chair, Geopolitics and Foreign Policy Department, CSIS 

 

Ilaria Mazzocco

Deputy Director and Senior Fellow, Trustee Chair in Chinese Business and 

Economics, Economic Security and Technology Department, CSIS

 

Moderated by:

Will Todman

Chief of Staff, Geopolitics and Foreign Policy Department; Senior Fellow, Middle East Program; and Host of the State of Play Podcast

Break

10:55 am

Regional Security Dynamics: China, Russia, North Korea

11:00 am

Thomas J. Christensen

Pritzker Chair, Geopolitics and Foreign Policy Department, CSIS; Professor of Public and International Affairs and Director of the China and the World Program, Columbia University

 

Henrietta Levin

Senior Fellow, Freeman Chair in China Studies, Geopolitics and Foreign Policy Department, CSIS

 

Bonny Lin 

Director, China Power Project and Senior Adviser, Geopolitics and Foreign Policy Department, CSIS

 

Sydney Seiler

Senior Adviser, (Non-Resident), Korea Chair, Geopolitics and Foreign Policy Department, CSIS, and former National Intelligence Officer for North Korea, National Intelligence Council 

 

Maria Snegovaya

Senior Fellow, Europe, Russia, and Eurasia Program, Geopolitics and Foreign Policy Department, CSIS 

 

Moderated by:

Kathryn Paik

Deputy Director and Senior Fellow, Australia Chair, Geopolitics and Foreign Policy Department, CSIS 

Adjourn

12:00 pm

Contact Information

  • Minchi Hyun
  • Special Assistant to the President, Geopolitics and Foreign Policy Department and Program Manager, Korea Chair
  • MHyun@csis.org
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Victor Cha
President, Geopolitics and Foreign Policy Department and Korea Chair
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Gregory B. Poling
Director and Senior Fellow, Southeast Asia Program and Asia Maritime Transparency Initiative
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Nicholas Szechenyi
Vice President, Geopolitics and Foreign Policy Department and Senior Fellow, Japan Chair
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Phil Luck
Director, Economics Program and Scholl Chair in International Business
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Ilaria Mazzocco
Deputy Director and Senior Fellow, Trustee Chair in Chinese Business and Economics
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Adam Farrar
Senior Associate (Non-resident), Korea Chair
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Will Todman
Chief of Staff, Geopolitics and Foreign Policy Department; and Senior Fellow, Middle East Program
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Bonny Lin
Director, China Power Project and Senior Adviser
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Photo: CSIS
Deputy Director and Senior Fellow, Australia Chair